Government & Politics | Election Night (Nov.
to Democratic Activists,
Later in "Do the Math: Something
As of 6:00 PM PST...
CNN.COM gives these results for
over 11,000 voters in the CNN exit polls NATIONWIDE...
46% were Male, who went 51 to
47 for Bush -- 2 points worse for Bush than in 2000.
54% were Female, who went 54 to
45 for Kerry -- 2 points better than Gore in 2000.
When you do the math (a
sex-weighted average), that's...
1% Nader (for both sexes)
That SHOULD be the final
result, when all the precincts report nationwide (unless they're
continuing to poll in states with the polls still open, but a
sample of 11,000 is pretty darn big and hard to change at this
It's about 7:30 PM PST...
The map is mostly red. Bush has
about 80 more electoral votes than Kerry.
The Democrats on TV look a
little worried; the Republicans, a bit cocky.
But this is Geo. W. Bush's Last
NOTHING so far has been a
surprise. The only thing close has been NJ staying blue, despite
NOTHING so far is out of line
with the Zogby predictions.
MOREOVER the CNN Exit Poll
NATIONWIDE -- which (as far as I know) is AHEAD of the state by
state reports -- is staying pretty darn constant, pretty much
the same as an hour and a half ago: When you do the math
(sex-weighted average, as before) it's still...
AND IN FACT the actual popular
vote is approaching that: With about one-sixth (16%) of the
precincts reporting, Bush had a 7-point lead (53 to 46); with
about one-third reporting, that lead was cut to 4 (52 to 48). At
that rate, in an hour or two, with about one-half to two-thirds
of the precincts reporting, the lead should change...FOR GOOD.
To me, that means this
particular moment in history should indeed be...
THE BUSH LEAGUE'S LAST HURRAH.
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